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"To grow profitablility, retire shareholder equity, and provide sound employment opportunities while striving to keep the local communities strong."

Falling numbers has become a serious concern to all in the Ag Community this year. Unfortunately, COAG will not be able to have a "POOL" for low falling numbers. This issue is widespread across our whole region and beyond. Due to the wide proximity and the lack of segregation "at the pit," we can only encourage the producer to ask for a regrade if they find themselves in this situation. COAG will allow ONE regrade within 30 days of the date on the original grade certIf a regrade is requested, the second grade WILL replace the original.



 

GOOD AFTERNOON
SEPTEMBER  28, 2016 



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Blending Grain With Low Falling Numbers


FAQ About Falling Numbers

 

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Co-Ag Farm

10/22/2015
Well it’s been over a month since my last report, but it could have been yesterday with how much the market has moved since then. We continue to be stuck in a range of $5.50 and $5.80 cash, with DEC15 futures struggling to get over the $5.30 mark and dropping all the way down to $4.80. From a fundamental stand point even though it has been a rough start to the 2016 crop year here in the PNW the Midwest and the Black Sea region have gotten good and timely rains. It seems the cold has come to Russia sooner than hoped and there estimating that a third of the winter wheat crop is very susceptible to winterkill and made the need for good spring rains even more important. But with the large glut of wheat stocks on hand in the world the trade does not seem to concerned with these weather events yet, it will probably take till spring time till the market takes any weather seriously. US exports also continue to be dreadfully low and slow, even though we are getting more competitive in the world market we are struggling to keep up with our projections. Now taking the focus of the world wheat picture and looking harder at the SWW market, Australia has about month till the first combines will start up and get there SWW harvest under way. They have taken the brunt of the very strong El Nino heading our way and there is an overall consensus “besides the USDA” that there will be a considerable drop in production and average estimates are at 21-24MMT. What I am looking for is anything at 20 or below, if this mark is reached it should give a nice little bounce in the PNW SWW market, not a dollar or two improvement but significant. With this all being said, and with the technical side being short once again and in need some sort of rally, for nearby pricing I would not be shocked to see some movement right before the Australian harvest. This is the time when I would be looking at letting some grain go, either in the nearby month or further out. The market is to placid right now, there is no news to push it really one way or another, and as long as the corn boys can keep their act  together and not drive this thing into the ground there should be a couple selling opportunities.
PSA Announcement
I know we still are battling with marketing the 2015 crop but please keep an eye out on both cash and HTA opportunities for NC 2106. With how this fall planting has been going and with El Nino still scheduled to hit this area and make things 55% drier than normal taking risk off the table at profitable levels is essential. New Crop cash has been between $5.90 and $6.15 August DLVD for the past few weeks, and if we see a futures rally take advantage and lock that price in only if its 5,000BU. Yes, I know that things could change and that might be a terrible trade next year, but given the landscape at the current moment that $6.15 trade could be the best one to.

Price Points Futures
MAR2016-$5.48+
Harvest-May2016-$5.80+

Nearby Cash
$5.80

 
Take a look at the Co-Ag Farms J.V. Link to find out more and see how I am doing.


Local Cash Bids
 
SOFT WHITE WHEAT
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  3766s @W6U Chart
 October  403'6 @W6Z Chart
 November  403'6 @W6Z Chart
 December  403'6 @W6Z Chart
 January  426'2 @W7H Chart
 February  426'2 @W7H Chart

HARD RED WINTER WHEAT
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  421'2 @KW6Z Chart
 October  421'2 @KW6Z Chart
 November  421'2 @KW6Z Chart
 December  421'2 @KW6Z Chart

DARK NORTHERN SPRING WHEAT
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  508'2 @MW6Z Chart
 October  508'2 @MW6Z Chart
 November  508'2 @MW6Z Chart

BARLEY
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  NONE Chart
 October  NONE Chart
 November  NONE Chart
 December  NONE Chart
 January  NONE Chart

PARDINA
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  NONE Chart

BREWER/MERRITT
  ROSALIA
Futures Price Futures Month Basis Cash Price
 September  NONE Chart

GREEN PEAS
There are currently no bids for GREEN PEAS at this location.

YELLOW PEAS
There are currently no bids for YELLOW PEAS at this location.

Price as of 09/28/16 08:49PM CDT.
Month Symbols
Click to view more Cash Bids

FSC & Discounts

Fuel Surcharges       
Wheat               Barley

 

$0.0 per bu   $0.0 per ton

 


Protein Discount Scales
14.0% DNS (+10, -20 c/.25% from 14% to 15.5%)
11.5% HRW (+15, -30 c/.5% from 11.5% to 13%)

Falling Number discounts (300 minimum)
$.25 for every 25 points under 300, below 225 subject

Wheat & Barley prices are quoted FOB Portland. Elevator differentials and storage charges apply.

Pea, Lentil, and Oilseed prices are grower prices.  Receiving and storage charges apply.

*minus storage & $4.50 handle for net grower price(oats only). 




 


My Market Watch
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Commodities
@C6Z 330'6 1'4
@S6X 954'2 8'6
@W6Z 403'6 0'4
@O6Z 175'2 1'2
Stocks
MSFT 58.0300 0.0800
WMT 71.790000 -0.540000
XOM 86.900000 3.660000
TWX 78.560000 0.680000



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Our Market Comments
Futures closed down 1.  Wheat is mixed to lower in very light trade overnight and continues to trade fairly range bound.  Japan skips their feed wheat and barley purchases after they received no orders from the end user.  Production could exceed 27.6m tons, with possibility harvest may top 29m tons if the weather subsides.  Morocco seeking offers to import as much as 303,637 tons of U.S. soft wheat at preferential tariffs.
 
   

 
Pea & Lentil bids :   All prices are now basis 2015 crop.  New crop offers are being accepted and encouraged.

Futures
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 16 401'6 404'0 401'6 403'6 0'4 403'2 08:38P Chart for @W6Z Options for @W6Z
Mar 17 424'6 426'2 424'6 426'2 0'2 426'0 08:39P Chart for @W7H Options for @W7H
May 17 440'0 441'4 437'0 439'6 0'2 439'6s 08:38P Chart for @W7K Options for @W7K
Jul 17 449'0 449'0 449'0 449'0 -0'6 449'6 08:38P Chart for @W7N Options for @W7N
Sep 17 462'6 464'4 461'0 463'0 1'4 464'0s 08:36P Chart for @W7U Options for @W7U
Dec 17 481'2 483'0 480'4 482'6 1'6 482'6s 08:37P Chart for @W7Z Options for @W7Z
Mar 18 492'2 2'2 498'2s 08:34P Chart for @W8H Options for @W8H
May 18 503'0 3'0 505'2s 08:30P Chart for @W8K Options for @W8K
Jul 18 496'4 2'6 500'6s 07:00P Chart for @W8N Options for @W8N
Sep 18 510'0 2'6 510'0s 07:00P Chart for @W8U Options for @W8U
Dec 18 538'0 2'6 527'6s 07:00P Chart for @W8Z Options for @W8Z
Mar 19 527'6 2'6 527'6s 01:20P Chart for @W9H Options for @W9H
May 19 527'6 2'6 527'6s 01:20P Chart for @W9K Options for @W9K
Jul 19 519'6 2'6 519'6s 01:20P Chart for @W9N Options for @W9N
@KW - HARD RED WINTER WHEAT - KCBT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 16 420'0 421'4 419'6 421'2 0'0 421'2 08:37P Chart for @KW6Z Options for @KW6Z
Mar 17 437'4 438'0 437'4 438'0 0'0 438'0 08:36P Chart for @KW7H Options for @KW7H
May 17 446'4 449'0 444'4 448'0 2'0 448'0s 08:36P Chart for @KW7K Options for @KW7K
Jul 17 456'6 457'0 456'4 457'0 -1'0 458'0 08:36P Chart for @KW7N Options for @KW7N
Sep 17 469'6 470'2 469'6 470'2 2'2 471'6s 08:36P Chart for @KW7U Options for @KW7U
Dec 17 490'0 490'4 488'4 489'6 2'6 491'4s 08:36P Chart for @KW7Z Options for @KW7Z
Mar 18 498'0 3'2 503'2s 08:36P Chart for @KW8H Options for @KW8H
@MW - HARD RED SPRING WHEAT - MGE
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 16 507'6 508'4 507'4 508'2 -0'2 508'4 08:37P Chart for @MW6Z Options for @MW6Z
Mar 17 515'0 515'0 515'0 515'0 -1'0 516'0 08:37P Chart for @MW7H Options for @MW7H
May 17 522'4 522'4 522'4 522'4 -1'0 523'4 08:37P Chart for @MW7K Options for @MW7K
Jul 17 527'0 532'0 526'6 532'0 4'6 531'6s 08:30P Chart for @MW7N Options for @MW7N
Sep 17 540'0 540'0 540'0 540'0 -0'6 540'6 08:30P Chart for @MW7U Options for @MW7U
Dec 17 554'2 554'2 552'2 552'2 4'6 555'2s 08:30P Chart for @MW7Z Options for @MW7Z
Mar 18 559'0 5'4 568'0s 08:30P Chart for @MW8H Options for @MW8H
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 16 329'6 330'6 329'4 330'6 1'4 329'2 08:38P Chart for @C6Z Options for @C6Z
Mar 17 339'4 340'4 339'2 340'2 1'2 339'0 08:38P Chart for @C7H Options for @C7H
May 17 346'4 347'2 346'4 347'2 1'0 346'2 08:38P Chart for @C7K Options for @C7K
Jul 17 353'4 354'4 353'4 354'4 1'2 353'2 08:38P Chart for @C7N Options for @C7N
Sep 17 361'0 361'0 361'0 361'0 0'6 360'2 08:37P Chart for @C7U Options for @C7U
Dec 17 369'4 370'4 369'4 370'4 1'2 369'2 08:38P Chart for @C7Z Options for @C7Z
Mar 18 380'0 381'0 379'2 379'2 -2'4 379'2s 08:37P Chart for @C8H Options for @C8H
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 16 947'0 954'6 946'2 954'2 8'6 945'4 08:39P Chart for @S6X Options for @S6X
Jan 17 953'2 960'4 952'6 960'4 8'4 952'0 08:39P Chart for @S7F Options for @S7F
Mar 17 959'4 966'4 959'0 966'0 7'6 958'2 08:39P Chart for @S7H Options for @S7H
May 17 965'6 972'6 965'6 972'6 8'0 964'6 08:37P Chart for @S7K Options for @S7K
Jul 17 970'4 976'4 970'4 976'0 6'0 970'0 08:37P Chart for @S7N Options for @S7N
Aug 17 974'0 975'2 969'0 969'0 -5'4 969'2s 08:37P Chart for @S7Q Options for @S7Q
Sep 17 959'6 961'6 956'4 956'4 -4'6 957'2s 08:38P Chart for @S7U Options for @S7U
@LE - LIVE CATTLE - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Oct 16 102.825 104.175 101.525 103.175 - 0.350 103.475s 04:08P Chart for @LE6V Options for @LE6V
Dec 16 102.700 104.375 101.550 103.375 0.500 103.625s 04:08P Chart for @LE6Z Options for @LE6Z
Feb 17 103.225 105.075 102.325 103.875 0.450 104.100s 04:08P Chart for @LE7G Options for @LE7G
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

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Rosalia, WA
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Rosalia, WA
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